Sovereign Intel Brief

Macro & Geopolitical Intelligence

US Close Fri 31 Jul | ASX Close Fri 31 Jul · 20:30 AEST
BOTTOM LINE
KOSPI +17.91% MIRACLE Largest single-day gain in history as MSFT earnings revalidated the AI demand thesis.
IRAN DAY 155 Ballistic missiles hit Jordan; peace-deal half-life collapses to 48h. Conflict is uncontained.
RBA REBELLION Big 4 banks pivot to August CUT forecasts despite RBA's hawkish rhetoric.
CENTRAL BANKS
Fed Funds Rate 3.75% (Hold)
RBA Cash Rate 4.35% (Hold)
Sept FOMC Hike Prob. 77%
US June PCE (YoY) 3.7%
ENERGY & RISK
Brent Crude $90.12
WTI Crude $84.67
Gold (Spot) $4,049.10
VIX Index 15.99
PORTFOLIO SNAPSHOT (A$85.6k)
SYMBOL PRICE (USD) CHG% P&L (VS COST)
MSFT$464.72+3.02%+15.52%
MU$823.03-5.90%+22.27%
META$556.71+3.28%-6.39%
TSM$404.25+0.23%+2.88%
RDDT$140.67-20.99%-11.07%
AVGO$389.28+0.37%-6.33%
CBRS$198.71-2.15%-32.16%
QQQU$53.32+6.85%-53.03%
TSXU$51.27-0.45%-90.66%
TOTAL PORTFOLIO VALUE (AUD)
A$85,624.28
Total P&L: -17.80% vs Cost