Macro & Geopolitical Intelligence

Bottom Line

KOSPI Instability: -5.12% reversal today marks failure of the 3-session hold test; bear cycle accelerates.
Iran Threshold: Ballistic missiles vs US forces and strikes in Egypt shift conflict to "Critical" escalation.
RBA Pivot: Market hike bets collapse to 3% as June CPI (3.8%) provides dovish cover despite Bullock rhetoric.

Fed Funds Rate

3.50% - 3.75%

RBA Cash Rate

4.35%

Brent Crude

$83.72 (-7.1%)

Gold (Spot)

$4,111 (+1.5%)

Symbol	Price (USD)	Chg%	AUD Value	P&L (vs Cost)
AVGO	$389.28	+0.37%	$6,081	-6.5%
META	$556.71	+3.28%	$14,228	-6.6%
MSFT	$464.72	+3.02%	$19,801	+15.2%
MU	$823.03	-5.90%	$9,351	+22.0%
TSM	$404.25	+0.23%	$7,463	+2.6%
RDDT	$140.67	-20.99%	$13,786	-11.2%
QQQU	$53.32	+6.85%	$17,264	-5.4%

EST. TOTAL PORTFOLIO: A$88,642 (-14.9%)

Iran War (Day 157): Two-chokepoint crisis persists. Egypt targeted. US-Saudi maritime coalition testing blockade.

Taiwan Strait: Risk ELEVATED. Simultaneous military drills increasing miscalculation threshold.