๐ŸŒ GLOBAL INTEL

Macro & Geopolitical Briefing

US close Fri 21 Aug | ASX close Fri 21 Aug ยท 06:30 AEST
โ”โ”โ” BOTTOM LINE
"Economic D-Day" Transition Trumpโ€™s 25% secondary tariff declaration shifts the Iran conflict into a global trade friction regime.
Black Sea Grain Shock Novorossiysk terminal strikes halt 15.6M t/yr capacity; food price contagion risk is elevated.
Fed "Put" is Off Warsh's hawkish silence and the FOMC's 3.8% median dot imply the next rate move is likely up.
โ”โ”โ” MARKET PULSE
7,674.37S&P 500 (+0.43%)
26,180.46Nasdaq (+0.43%)
15.13VIX (-5.50%)
$94.39Brent Crude
$4,680Gold (Spot)
4.738%US 10Y Yield
โ”โ”โ” IRAN WAR โ€” DAY 177

Status: Trumpโ€™s "Economic D-Day" (Aug 19) leverages 25% secondary tariffs to isolate Tehran. Kinetic strikes have paused, but the trade-war layer adds structural inflation pressure to 2027.

Oil: Brent-WTI spread at $7.33 signals physical supply dislocation. Triple-digit Brent is the psychological threshold to watch.

โ”โ”โ” PORTFOLIO SNAPSHOT
Symbol Price Chg% Mkt Val (AUD) P&L%
MU$966.78-0.77%$10,780+40.6%
MSFT$483.24+0.43%$20,206+17.6%
TSM$418.95+0.71%$7,591+4.4%
RDDT$153.29+1.98%$14,742-5.1%
META$549.90+0.75%$13,796-9.5%
AVGO$368.45+1.21%$5,649-13.2%
MiniMaxHK$347.2+11.86%$2,778+11.9%
Total Portfolio: A$118,763